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  2. Classical probability in the Enlightenment

Classical probability in the Enlightenment

Lorraine Daston c1988 © Princeton University Press
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ISBN(s)
  • 9781400844227 (ebook)
  • 9780691084978 (hardcover)
  • 9780691006444 (paper)
Subject
  • Science & Technology
Citable Link

  • Table of Contents

  • Reviews

  • Stats

  • Frontmatter
  • PREFACE AND ACKNOWLEDGMENTS (page ix)
  • INTRODUCTION (page xi)
  • CHAPTER ONE The Prehistory of the Classical Interpretation of Probability: Expectation and Evidence
    • 1.1 Introduction (page 3)
    • 1.2 Quantitative and Qualitative Probabilities (page 6)
    • 1.3 Expectation, Equity, and Aleatory Contracts (page 15)
    • 1.4 Degrees of Certainty and the Hierarchy of Proofs (page 33)
    • Conclusion (page 47)
  • CHAPTER TWO Expectation and the Reasonable Man
    • 2.1 Introduction (page 49)
    • 2.2 Expectation as Reasonableness (page 58)
    • 2.3 The Debate over Expectation (page 68)
    • 2.4 Conclusion (page 108)
  • CHAPTER THREE The Theory and Practice of Risk
    • 3.1 Introduction (page 112)
    • 3.2 Risk before Probability Theory (page 116)
    • 3.3 The Mathematical Theory of Risk (page 125)
    • 3.4 Risk after Probability Theory (page 138)
    • 3.5 Conclusion (page 182)
  • CHAPTER FOUR Associationism and the Meaning of Probability
    • 4.1 Introduction (page 188)
    • 4.2 Probability, Experience, and Belief (page 191)
    • 4.3 The Dissociation of Objective and Subjective Probabilities (page 210)
    • 4.4 Conclusion (page 224)
  • CHAPTER FIVE The Probability of Causes
    • 5.1 Introduction (page 226)
    • 5.2 Bernoulli's Theorem and the Urn of Model of Causation (page 230)
    • 5.3 Bayes' Theorem and the Problem of Induction (page 253)
    • 5.4 The Calculus of Induction (page 267)
    • 5.5 Conclusion (page 293)
  • CHAPTER SIX Moralizing Mathematics
    • 6.1 Introduction (page 296)
    • 6.2 The Moral Sciences (page 298)
    • 6.3 Testimony and the Probability of Miracles (page 306)
    • 6.4 The Probability of Judgments (page 342)
    • 6.5 Conclusion (page 368)
  • EPILOGUE The Decline of the Classical Theory (page 370)
  • BIBLIOGRAPHY (page 387)
  • INDEX (page 413)
Reviews
Journal AbbreviationLabelURL
ES 23.2 (Winter 1989-1990): 200-204 http://www.jstor.org/stable/2738738
BJHS 22.4 (Dec. 1989): 444-446 http://www.jstor.org/stable/4026924
AHR 96.5 (Dec. 1991): 1520-1522 http://www.jstor.org/stable/2165316
ISIS 80.1 (Mar. 1989): 116-124 http://www.jstor.org/stable/234376
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